Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-33.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-21.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $28.99 | -94.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $720.99 | 33.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $455.62 | -15.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $390.32 | -27.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $357.21 | -33.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $268.66 | -50.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $151.55 | -71.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MLM appears overvalued at the current price of $538.66. The base case fair value of $357.21 implies 33.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.