Marathon Petroleum Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
3.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
7.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
109.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2015.61 | 465.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $356.68 | 0.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $645.89 | 81.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $192.63 | -45.9% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $382.89 | 7.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $845.84 | 137.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $379.42 | 6.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MPC appears undervalued at the current price of $356.37. The base case fair value of $382.89 implies 7.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.