Mercury Systems, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-90.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-84.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1.71 | -101.5% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $11.07 | -90.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $23.95 | -78.9% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, MRCY appears overvalued at the current price of $113.36. The base case fair value of $11.07 implies 90.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.