MSA Safety Incorporated
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-57.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-27.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $42.98 | -77.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $155.56 | -17.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $90.12 | -52.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $79.41 | -58.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $119.79 | -36.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $180.69 | -4.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $82.89 | -56.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MSA appears overvalued at the current price of $189.14. The base case fair value of $90.12 implies 52.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.