Middlesex Water Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-54.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-20.12 | -134.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $38.91 | -32.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $21.46 | -63.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $39.99 | -31.1% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $52.11 | -10.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $16.57 | -71.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $26.45 | -54.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MSEX appears overvalued at the current price of $58.02. The base case fair value of $26.45 implies 54.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.