MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-65.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-37.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $21.68 | -82.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $80.24 | -34.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $48.15 | -60.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $67.73 | -44.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $78.85 | -35.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $41.18 | -66.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MSM appears overvalued at the current price of $122.59. The base case fair value of $57.94 implies 52.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.