ArcelorMittal S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-36.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7.45 | -110.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $41.81 | -43.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $52.68 | -28.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $61.57 | -16.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $77.40 | 4.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $17.82 | -75.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MT appears overvalued at the current price of $73.80. The base case fair value of $47.24 implies 36.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.