Murphy USA Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-42.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-4.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
11.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-4220.57 | -820.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $616.15 | 5.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $783.97 | 33.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $154.47 | -73.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $518.21 | -11.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $561.05 | -4.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $688.34 | 17.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MUSA appears fairly valued at the current price of $586.06. The base case fair value of $561.05 implies 4.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.