Mueller Water Products, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-50.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-23.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-0.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $9.01 | -64.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $27.28 | 8.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $63.25 | 151.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $14.11 | -44.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $19.21 | -23.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $22.97 | -8.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.90 | -56.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MWA appears overvalued at the current price of $25.18. The base case fair value of $19.21 implies 23.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.