Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-52.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-5.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
41.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.59 | -82.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $108.17 | 41.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $127.92 | 67.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $72.63 | -5.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $107.68 | 40.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $16.99 | -77.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $54.98 | -28.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, NFG appears fairly valued at the current price of $76.43. The base case fair value of $72.63 implies 5.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.