National Fuel Gas Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-33.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-9.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
42.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-24.21 | -129.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $88.40 | 8.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $147.39 | 80.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $74.43 | -9.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $144.36 | 76.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $49.12 | -40.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $60.24 | -26.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NFG appears fairly valued at the current price of $81.82. The base case fair value of $74.43 implies 9.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.