New Jersey Resources Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-54.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-19.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
0.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-581.65 | -1158.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $54.18 | -1.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $34.62 | -37.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.08 | -19.8% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $74.21 | 35.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $15.18 | -72.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $56.78 | 3.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NJR appears fairly valued at the current price of $54.97. The base case fair value of $44.08 implies 19.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.