NOV Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-80.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.11 | -85.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $3.19 | -85.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $9.93 | -54.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $21.99 | 1.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $30.22 | 39.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.15 | -66.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, NOV appears overvalued at the current price of $21.60. The base case fair value of $8.54 implies 60.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.