NRG Energy, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-53.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
24.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $1634.70 | 1235.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $57.02 | -53.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $42.85 | -65.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.18 | -77.8% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $195.13 | 59.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $35.69 | -70.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $110.34 | -9.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NRG appears fairly valued at the current price of $122.37. The base case fair value of $57.02 implies 53.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.