Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-71.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-62.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-53.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.56 | -93.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.93 | -47.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $15.36 | -59.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $10.38 | -72.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $14.42 | -62.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $31.06 | -18.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.57 | -69.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NSSC appears overvalued at the current price of $38.06. The base case fair value of $14.42 implies 62.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.