Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES, INC
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-63.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $14.39 | -60.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $30.77 | -14.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $15.61 | -56.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.02 | -66.8% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $17.91 | -50.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $36.60 | 1.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.08 | -66.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, NSSC appears overvalued at the current price of $36.17. The base case fair value of $15.61 implies 56.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.