NVR, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-24.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-0.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
14.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2292.87 | -63.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $7226.54 | 14.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $25548.08 | 305.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $3397.96 | -46.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $6259.58 | -0.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $7216.70 | 14.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $6103.63 | -3.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NVR appears fairly valued at the current price of $6298.83. The base case fair value of $6259.58 implies 0.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.