Origin Bancorp, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-40.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-25.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-17.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $12.17 | -77.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $38.71 | -27.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $41.35 | -22.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $54.03 | 0.7% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, OBK appears overvalued at the current price of $53.66. The base case fair value of $40.03 implies 25.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.