Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-78.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-56.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $21.31 | -89.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $100.42 | -52.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $50.61 | -76.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $48.97 | -76.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $82.25 | -61.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $106.22 | -49.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $43.39 | -79.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ODFL appears overvalued at the current price of $211.96. The base case fair value of $50.61 implies 76.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.