Okta, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-75.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.94 | -92.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $34.98 | -75.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $108.68 | -24.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.15 | -75.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $20.18 | -85.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $102.46 | -28.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.27 | -87.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, OKTA appears overvalued at the current price of $143.24. The base case fair value of $34.98 implies 75.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.