Universal Display Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-32.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-22.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $12.89 | -85.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $104.69 | 20.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $47.34 | -45.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $58.67 | -32.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $62.08 | -28.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $71.51 | -17.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $33.82 | -61.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, OLED appears overvalued at the current price of $86.64. The base case fair value of $58.67 implies 32.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.