Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-23.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-4.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.19 | -82.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $74.43 | -0.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $121.81 | 62.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $52.97 | -29.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $61.67 | -17.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $69.38 | -7.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $65.85 | -12.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, OLLI appears overvalued at the current price of $74.93. The base case fair value of $65.85 implies 12.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.