Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-33.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-23.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $72.13 | -18.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $82.12 | -7.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $134.68 | 52.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $56.21 | -36.4% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $54.74 | -38.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $67.20 | -23.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $61.37 | -30.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, OLLI appears overvalued at the current price of $88.35. The base case fair value of $67.20 implies 23.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.