Onto Innovation Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-82.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-77.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.10 | -94.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $54.41 | -79.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $60.96 | -76.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $45.38 | -82.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.47 | -82.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $97.22 | -62.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $27.03 | -89.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ONTO appears overvalued at the current price of $258.58. The base case fair value of $45.47 implies 82.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.