Onto Innovation Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-85.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-81.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $14.69 | -95.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $53.64 | -83.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $61.27 | -80.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $45.38 | -85.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.47 | -85.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $97.22 | -69.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $26.35 | -91.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ONTO appears overvalued at the current price of $316.15. The base case fair value of $45.47 implies 85.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.