Ormat Technologies, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-90.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-75.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-64.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-158.32 | -239.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $30.38 | -73.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $26.33 | -76.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $43.84 | -61.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $88.67 | -22.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $6.43 | -94.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ORA appears overvalued at the current price of $113.91. The base case fair value of $28.36 implies 75.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.