O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-48.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-43.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-34.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-34.69 | -138.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $58.93 | -34.7% | Medium (25%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $46.82 | -48.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $50.65 | -43.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $112.37 | 24.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, ORLY appears overvalued at the current price of $90.23. The base case fair value of $50.65 implies 43.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.