Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
49.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
104.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
133.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $379.76 | 362.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $210.45 | 156.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $167.97 | 104.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $107.02 | 30.4% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $138.43 | 68.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $172.55 | 110.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $59.82 | -27.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PARR appears undervalued at the current price of $82.07. The base case fair value of $167.97 implies 104.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.