Paycom Software, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-42.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
18.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $189.34 | -11.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $238.54 | 11.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $291.29 | 36.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $81.06 | -62.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $143.21 | -33.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $270.43 | 26.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $101.67 | -52.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PAYC appears fairly valued at the current price of $214.19. The base case fair value of $189.34 implies 11.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.