Paychex, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-33.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-22.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $148.72 | 25.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $94.42 | -20.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $92.50 | -22.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $33.80 | -71.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $84.02 | -29.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $129.38 | 9.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $72.92 | -38.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PAYX appears overvalued at the current price of $118.54. The base case fair value of $92.50 implies 22.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.