Paychex, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-24.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-14.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $80.03 | -18.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $87.57 | -10.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $97.32 | -0.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $34.18 | -65.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $69.15 | -29.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $119.47 | 21.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $84.17 | -14.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PAYX appears overvalued at the current price of $98.24. The base case fair value of $84.17 implies 14.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.