PACCAR Inc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-51.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-34.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.79 | -89.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $92.10 | -29.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $62.97 | -51.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $62.63 | -52.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $79.80 | -39.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $119.16 | -8.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $59.21 | -54.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PCAR appears overvalued at the current price of $130.84. The base case fair value of $62.97 implies 51.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.