Penumbra, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-82.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-69.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.72 | -96.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $90.58 | -72.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $231.53 | -29.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $57.96 | -82.3% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $57.53 | -82.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $110.95 | -66.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $29.61 | -90.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PEN appears overvalued at the current price of $327.17. The base case fair value of $57.96 implies 82.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.