Packaging Corporation of America
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-65.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-49.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-38.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $24.30 | -90.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $144.51 | -42.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $79.44 | -68.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $94.06 | -62.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $195.44 | -22.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $164.90 | -34.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $126.78 | -49.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PKG appears overvalued at the current price of $252.97. The base case fair value of $126.78 implies 49.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.