The Pennant Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-80.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-16.61 | -142.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $20.03 | -48.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $38.93 | -0.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $13.96 | -64.4% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $17.60 | -55.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $15.04 | -61.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $1.65 | -95.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PNTG appears overvalued at the current price of $39.18. The base case fair value of $15.04 implies 61.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.