Pool Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-18.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-10.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
12.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $219.75 | 15.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $210.31 | 10.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $150.66 | -20.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $88.34 | -53.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $170.07 | -10.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $328.76 | 72.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $159.27 | -16.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, POOL appears fairly valued at the current price of $190.47. The base case fair value of $170.07 implies 10.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.