Post Holdings, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
20.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
35.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
173.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13172.81 | 16500.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $99.98 | 26.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $85.48 | 7.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $90.49 | 14.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $237.02 | 198.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $197.18 | 148.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $107.58 | 35.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, POST appears undervalued at the current price of $79.35. The base case fair value of $107.58 implies 35.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.