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Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-45.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $127.73 | -60.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $155.82 | -52.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $56.45 | -82.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $111.49 | -65.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $185.02 | -42.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $363.09 | 12.0% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, PSA appears overvalued at the current price of $324.31. The base case fair value of $141.77 implies 56.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.