Qualys, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-53.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $42.27 | -76.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $146.52 | -20.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $176.59 | -3.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.94 | -75.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $72.30 | -60.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $173.74 | -5.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $84.91 | -53.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, QLYS appears overvalued at the current price of $183.31. The base case fair value of $84.91 implies 53.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.