Royal Gold, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-34.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $70.74 | -70.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $162.27 | -31.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $452.23 | 91.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $145.76 | -38.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $111.54 | -52.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $0.17 | -99.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $69.17 | -70.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RGLD appears overvalued at the current price of $236.62. The base case fair value of $111.54 implies 52.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.