Roku, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-81.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-77.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $29.10 | -81.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $38.06 | -76.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $30.84 | -80.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $29.66 | -81.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $112.12 | -29.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $9.70 | -93.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ROKU appears overvalued at the current price of $158.31. The base case fair value of $30.25 implies 80.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.