Shell plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
6.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
14.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
93.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $17.54 | -57.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $41.08 | -0.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $47.24 | 14.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $46.35 | 12.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $95.40 | 131.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $63.88 | 55.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $106.24 | 157.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RYDAF appears undervalued at the current price of $41.20. The base case fair value of $47.24 implies 14.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.