Shell plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
25.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
54.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
86.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $196.35 | 346.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $55.46 | 26.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $67.95 | 54.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $54.79 | 24.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $95.40 | 116.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $41.86 | -4.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $68.62 | 55.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, RYDAF appears undervalued at the current price of $44.01. The base case fair value of $67.95 implies 54.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.