Saia, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-79.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-49.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.60 | -98.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $200.44 | -48.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $111.44 | -71.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $149.91 | -61.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $225.30 | -41.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $190.91 | -50.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $50.33 | -86.9% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SAIA appears overvalued at the current price of $385.22. The base case fair value of $149.91 implies 61.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.