The Boston Beer Company, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-6.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
43.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $118.77 | -36.5% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $229.59 | 22.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $387.88 | 107.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $116.65 | -37.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, SAM appears fairly valued at the current price of $187.01. The base case fair value of $174.18 implies 6.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.