StandardAero, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-51.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-24.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.84 | -60.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $18.77 | -31.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $45.68 | 66.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $13.31 | -51.4% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $22.67 | -17.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $13.30 | -51.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.31 | -80.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SARO appears overvalued at the current price of $27.39. The base case fair value of $13.31 implies 51.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.