Somnigroup International Inc
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-63.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-49.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-25.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.19 | -88.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $46.92 | -27.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $32.60 | -49.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.13 | -55.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $50.51 | -22.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $74.66 | 14.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.00 | -72.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SGI appears overvalued at the current price of $65.01. The base case fair value of $32.60 implies 49.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.