Shake Shack Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-97.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7.51 | -110.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $17.45 | -75.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $62.18 | -12.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.62 | -76.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.10 | -36.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $4.88 | -93.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-1.87 | -102.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SHAK appears overvalued at the current price of $70.99. The base case fair value of $16.62 implies 76.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.