Shell plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
2.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
12.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
94.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $30.08 | -63.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $81.91 | -0.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $87.10 | 5.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $92.48 | 12.4% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $192.38 | 133.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $127.69 | 55.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $219.81 | 167.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SHEL appears undervalued at the current price of $82.25. The base case fair value of $92.48 implies 12.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.