Shell plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-8.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
0.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
80.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $30.16 | -67.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $79.12 | -14.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $88.52 | -3.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $92.48 | 0.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $192.38 | 109.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $140.09 | 52.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $216.69 | 135.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SHEL appears fairly valued at the current price of $91.98. The base case fair value of $92.48 implies 0.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.