Steven Madden, Ltd.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-66.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-27.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.14 | -84.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $37.54 | -19.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $23.45 | -49.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $17.42 | -62.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $61.55 | 32.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $15.16 | -67.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SHOO appears overvalued at the current price of $46.60. The base case fair value of $20.44 implies 56.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.