Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
SHOPIFY INC.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-92.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-85.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-70.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.91 | -95.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $38.27 | -70.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $61.62 | -52.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $18.67 | -85.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $12.94 | -89.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $37.37 | -70.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2.24 | -98.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, SHOP appears overvalued at the current price of $128.50. The base case fair value of $18.67 implies 85.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.