Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-4.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
9.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
48.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $58.86 | -36.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $97.49 | 5.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $237.74 | 158.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $103.50 | 12.4% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, SIGI appears fairly valued at the current price of $92.10. The base case fair value of $100.49 implies 9.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.