Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
163.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $84.09 | -69.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $865.93 | 217.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1647.11 | 504.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $275.87 | 1.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $202.98 | -25.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $93.94 | -65.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SIMO appears fairly valued at the current price of $272.70. The base case fair value of $239.42 implies 12.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.