Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-19.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
51.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
108.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.69 | -80.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $41.32 | 41.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $59.04 | 102.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.22 | 51.8% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $62.25 | 113.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $91.66 | 214.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-6.72 | -123.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SIRI appears fairly valued at the current price of $29.13. The base case fair value of $44.22 implies 51.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.