Siemens AG
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-40.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-35.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-0.58 | -100.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $189.34 | -40.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $211.67 | -33.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $132.08 | -58.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $202.00 | -36.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $252.69 | -21.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $109.79 | -65.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SMAWF appears overvalued at the current price of $320.29. The base case fair value of $189.34 implies 40.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.