Siemens AG
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-37.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-0.58 | -100.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $189.01 | -41.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $205.38 | -36.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $132.08 | -59.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $202.00 | -37.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $252.69 | -21.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $109.79 | -66.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SMAWF appears overvalued at the current price of $323.53. The base case fair value of $189.01 implies 41.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.