The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-123.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-28.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
20.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-62.59 | -205.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $20.37 | -65.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $64.16 | 8.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $73.87 | 24.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $113.33 | 91.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-25.40 | -142.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SMG appears fairly valued at the current price of $59.20. The base case fair value of $42.27 implies 28.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.